2010 Guidance (1)
|
2010 Forecast
|
Q2 2010
|
Q2 2009 |
||
| Fort Chicago Energy Partners L.P. | Low | High | Actual |
Actual |
| Distributable Cash - Cdn $ per Class A Unit (2,3) | ||||
| Alliance Distributions | 0.83 | 0.87 | 0.429 |
0.454 |
| AEGS | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.051 | 0.054 |
| Aux Sable Distributions, net of support payments | 0.33 | 0.60 | 0.243 | 0.041 |
| Fort Chicago Power | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.024 |
0.067 |
| NRGreen Distributions | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.008 |
0.007 |
| East Windsor Distributions | - | 0.03 | - | - |
| General and Administrative, Realized Foreign Exchange |
(0.12) | (0.11) | (0.055) |
(0.031) |
| Debt Service - Principal Repayments and Interest, net | (0.18) | (0.16) | (0.082) |
(0.055) |
| Taxes | (0.04) | (0.13) | (0.045) | (0.020) |
| 1.00 | 1.30 | 0.573 |
0.517 | |
| Net Income (Cdn $ per Class A Unit) | 0.53 |
0.65 |
0.23 |
0.23 |
| Cdn/U.S. Exchange Rate - Average | 1.034 |
1.206 |
||
| Last 6 months of the year | 1.00 | 1.10 | ||
| Full year | 1.02 | 1.07 | ||
| Average Number of Class A Units Outstanding (Thousands) - for calculation of: | ||||
| Distributable Cash | 144,000 | 143,000 | 141,207 |
134,659 |
| Net Income | 144,000 | 143,000 | 140,698 |
135,195 |
| Taxable Income Allocation to Unitholders as a Percent of Cash Distributions Paid (4) | 95 | 100 | n/a | n/a |
| Distributable Cash Per Unit Sensitivity (Pre-tax, Annualized) | ||||
| Cdn $0.01 change in Cdn/U.S. exchange rate | 0.005 |
0.007 |
n/a | n/a |
| US $5.00 change in WTI Crude | 0.100 |
0.088 |
n/a | n/a |
| US $1.00 change in Henry Hub Natural Gas | 0.143 |
0.136 |
n/a | n/a |
| Alliance Pipeline - 100% Basis | ||||
| Volume (bcf/d) | 1.550 | 1.603 | 1.631 | 1.638 |
| Rate Base - Average for Period | ||||
| U.S. (US $Millions) | 1,081 | 1,121 | 1,120 |
1,199 |
| Canada (Cdn $Millions) | 1,985 | 2,025 | 2,028 |
2,119 |
| Tolls | ||||
| U.S. (US $ per mcf) | 0.59 | 0.59 | 0.59 |
0.59 |
| Canada (Cdn $ per mcf) | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.89 |
0.86 |
| Capital Expenditures | ||||
| U.S. (US $Millions) | 6.0 |
7.0 | 1.9 |
0.6 |
| Canada (Cdn $Millions) | 7.0 | 8.0 | 5.6 |
2.7 |
| Distributions (Prior to withholding for capital expenditures; net of debt service) | ||||
| U.S. (US $Millions) | 92.0 | 94.0 | 45.9 | 42.4 |
| Canada (Cdn $Millions) | 147.0 | 149.0 | 73.6 | 72.0 |
| AEGS - Cdn $Millions, except where noted | ||||
| Toll Volume (mbbls/d) | 265 | 285 | 283.4 | 278.8 |
| Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation & Amortization ("EBITDA") | 22.4 | 23.4 | 11.3 | 11.4 |
| Debt Service - Principal Repayments and Interest | (8.2) | (8.2) | (4.0) | (4.1) |
| Distributable Cash | 14.2 | 15.2 | 7.3 | 7.3 |
| Aux Sable - 100% Basis | ||||
| U.S. Operations | ||||
| NGL Volumes (mbbls/d) | 77 | 77 | 75.7 | 62.6 |
| WTI Crude (US$/bbl) | 78.25 | 51.25 | ||
| Last 6 months of the year | 65.0 | 85.0 | ||
| Full year | 72.0 | 81.0 | ||
| Henry Hub Natural Gas (US$/mmbtu) | 4.73 | 4.14 | ||
| Last 6 months of the year | 5.50 | 3.50 | ||
| Full year | 5.07 | 4.24 | ||
| Crude to Gas Ratio | 16.5:1 |
12.4:1 |
||
| Last 6 months of the year | 11.8:1 | 24.3:1 | ||
| Full year | 14.3:1 | 19.0:1 | ||
| U.S. Operations (US $Millions) | ||||
| Growth Capital Expenditures | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 |
| EBITDA, before project development costs | 113.5 | 190.4 | 82.0 | 16.2 |
| Debt Service - Principal Repayments and Interest | (4.0) | (4.0) | (0.4) | (0.5) |
| Non-recoverable Maintenance Capital | - | - | - | - |
| Distributable Cash | 109.5 | 186.4 | 78.0 | 15.7 |
| Unrecognized margin-based fees under NGL Sales Agreement | - | - | 17.7 | 15.4 |
| Canadian Operations (Cdn$ Millions) | ||||
| Growth Capital Expenditures | 25.0 | 30.0 | 10.4 | - |
| Fort Chicago Power | ||||
| U.S. Operations (US $Millions) | ||||
| Growth Capital Expenditures (excluding acquisitions) | - | - | - | - |
| EBITDA, before project development costs | 10.1 | 11.1 | 3.6 | 4.8 |
| Interest | (1.4) | (1.4) | (0.7) | (0.7) |
| Maintenance Capital | (4.8) | (3.8) | (2.4) | 0.2 |
| Distributable Cash | 3.9 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 4.3 |
| Canadian Operations (Cdn $Millions) | ||||
| Growth Capital Expenditures (excluding acquisitions) | - | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| EBITDA, before project development costs | 5.8 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 4.0 |
| Maintenance Capital | (1.5) | (0.5) | (0.2) | (0.2) |
| Distributable Cash | 4.3 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 3.8 |
| NRGreen - 100% Basis; Cdn $Millions | ||||
| Capital Expenditures | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 2.9 |
| Distributions (Prior to withholding for project development costs; net of debt service) | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| East Windsor Cogeneration - 100% Basis; Cdn $Millions | ||||
| Capital Expenditures | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 20.4 |
| Distributable Cash reserved for Debt Service Reserve Account | - | 7.8 | - | - |
